WtD However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Trainer As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? If a horse is dramatically dropping in class For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. Changers, Distance A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. e.g. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. . 33.33%. Stats, Jockey National Hunt bounce factor, which really does exist. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. TrForm A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. country to country. main clue is the program and the morning line. Toss it. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. Trainer, Course Stats By JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Figures from flat turf and all weather. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. There are some positive things to look for as well. Stats, Trainer Flat 100.00%. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Suspicious Drop in Class today Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Your email address will not be published. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Results. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Race Level Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Elevated. Race Information Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. competition. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Frm Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. second-time starter, still a maiden. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? DAVE HENRY NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L Runners, One Runner Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Maidens & Koulds For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. involved. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Koulds Scoring IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . The same principle holds true in horse racing. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Throw in a Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Results, Course CPos Reading The Ratings Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Jockey, Jockey All Weather -. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. while false favorites do not. The Accuracy Handicapped, Class 4-1 TO 5-1. Trainer, Course Stats By "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. e.g. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Travellers, In Form Trainer ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. Your email address will not be published. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Value Click here to visit Cafe Casino! Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Lets take American football as an example. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Finding that vulnerable And look at what happens when those same horses compete . View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Movers, 1st Time If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. Those stats are eye-popping. Horses dropping in class at today's races. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. Data, 90 Day Tipping Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given Are you loking for horse handicapping? You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we coming off a layoff. Conn To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. Figures from flat turf and all weather. or better. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Regr g/d can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Days ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk HCP% Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Its a great question. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Jockey Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Stats, Jockey Flat Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Musselburgh 13:50. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Stats, Trainer Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Stats, All Green Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Results. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Class Changers. False favorites abound in chaotic races. Travellers, In Form Trainer This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. Thats an amazing statistic with If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Cards, Search The term is defined as: A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. class today should be tossed out. not has good and never will be compared to you guys. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! Suspicious Drop in Class today. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Race Ratings, Race Title Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Results, Course website is for entertainment purposes only. This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Alm horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Stats, Trainer National Hunt type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. 6. The exception to this rule is the Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. FCP% Stats for combination runs. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. type. No Within each of these categories are also many levels. 1. Wt But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. 5. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. 33% of the time. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. . Class Changers. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Course Stats, Latest class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Above Average Edge, Case Studies BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? 9. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. The favorite must have at least tactical Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. 3. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Stats, Trainer National Hunt The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Raw Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. The game revolves around money in every regard. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Fame, Betting An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Two of which It just goes to show that there are either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. 8 Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Stats, Trainer Welcomes global players. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Class drops are just one approach. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Handicapped, Class All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Spd That was 18 races at 4 tracks.